Sunday 7 December 2014

COT data of Dec 2nd 2014 - British Pound [BP], Dollar Index [DX]







British Pounds - Total o/i 174875, spreads 7037 (4.0%).  Closing price Dec 2nd 1.5635

 
Nett differences:  Commercials  +49426 (from +47825)  Large Specs -31014 (from -30666)
                              Small Specs -18412 (from -17159)
 

Proportions:


Commercials (53.6% of total o/i) -


68.3% of Longs (from 66.0%), 38.9% of Shorts (vs 37.3%), balance plus 29.4 (vs plus 28.7)


Large Specs (32.2% of total) - 

 23.0% of Longs (from 23.1%), 41.4% of Shorts (vs 41.5%), balance minus 18.4 (vs minus 18.4)



Small Specs (14.2% of total) - 


8.7% of Longs (from 10.9%), 19.7% of Shorts (vs 21.2%), balance minus 11.0 (vs minus 10.5) 

Commercials once again added to longs, but this time also added to shorts; overall, they became slightly more long, both proportionately and outright. Small Specs reduced their involvement altogether, while staying quite short overall - this, together with the increase in speads, may simply be a result of the impending switch of trading position, from Dec to March. Nett changes still suggest there may be more room on the upsiade than the downside. 


 
Dollar Index: Total o/i 97454, spreads 3378 (3.5%). Closing price Nov Dec 2nd 88.64

Nett differences:  Commercials -49049 (from -50500)  Large Specs +36155 (from +38467)
                              Small Specs +12894 (from +12033)




Proportions - 

Commercials (35.6% of total o/i) - 9.5% of Longs (from 8.9%), 61.6% of Shorts (vs 61.5%), balance minus 52.1 (vs minus 52.6)


Large Specs (56.1% of total) - 75.3% of Longs (from 74.9%), 36.9% of Shorts (vs 34.8%), balance plus 38.4 (vs plus 40.1) 
 Small Specs (8.3% of total) - 15.2% of Longs (from 16.2%), 1.5% of Shorts (vs 3.7%), balance plus 
 13.7 (vs plus 12.5) 

 Total open interest remains high, guidance from the breakdown of positions held remains lacking 
 (although there won't be much more short-covering to come from the Small Specs - on both a nett 
 and a proportionate basis, they're longer than they have been for some time ... )

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