Tuesday 2 December 2014

COT data of Nov 25th 2014 - British Pound [BP], Dollar Index [DX]






British Pounds - Total o/i 171730, spreads 4886 (2.8%).  Closing price Nov 25th 1.5710
 
Nett differences:  Commercials  +47825 (from +36573)  Large Specs -30666 (from -22829) 
                              Small Specs -17159 (from -13744)
 Proportions:

Commercials (51.6% of total o/i) -

66.0% of Longs (from 61.0%), 37.3% of Shorts (vs 38.5%), balance plus 28.7 (vs plus 22.5)


Large Specs (32.3% of total) - 

23.1% of Longs (from 26.4%), 41.5% of Shorts (vs 40.4%), balance minus 18.4 (vs minus 14.0)


Small Specs (16.1% of total) - 

10.9% of Longs (from 12.6%), 21.2% of Shorts (vs 21.1%), balance minus 10.3 (vs minus 8.5) 

Commercials added to longs considerably, and reduced shorts a little, becoming noticeably nett long both outright and proportionately. Small Specs on the other hand went further short - it might be time to move stoplosses on any short positions closer to the market .... 
 

 
Dollar Index: Total o/i 98005, spreads 2096 (2.1%). Closing price Nov 25th 87.97
  
Nett differences:  Commercials -50500 (from -50739)  Large Specs +38467 (from +39356) 
                              Small Specs +12033 (from +11383)


Proportions - 

Commercials (35.2% of total o/i) - 8.9% of Longs (from 9.4%), 61.5% of Shorts (vs 66.5%), balance minus 52.6 (vs minus 57.1)

Large Specs (54.9% of total) - 74.9% of Longs (from 76.4%), 34.8% of Shorts (vs 32.1%), balance plus 40.1 (vs plus 44.3) 
Small Specs (9.9% of total) - 16.2% of Longs (from 14.2%), 3.7% of Shorts (vs 1.4%), balance plus 12.5 (vs plus 12.8) 

In spite of the highest total open interest for some time, not much guidance at present from the breakdown of positions held. 

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